Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.876683 0.987823 1.109051 1.251328 1.414024 1.594593 1.810639
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.691590 0.837658 1.010135 1.229752 1.503273 1.834412 2.268243
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.611929 0.777064 0.982508 1.258729 1.623197 2.091515 2.745042
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.537486 0.708876 0.931254 1.243756 1.676092 2.259700 3.118330
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.489571 0.667213 0.906278 1.255506 1.759292 2.469906 3.566331
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.441937 0.619598 0.866381 1.239283 1.797372 2.615816 3.933434
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.404836 0.582341 0.836107 1.231612 1.843911 2.774829 4.334214
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.361226 0.531219 0.780356 1.179219 1.815235 2.813326 4.544986
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.341715 0.513928 0.772785 1.198761 1.898982 3.034444 5.077872
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.325101 0.499364 0.767624 1.220724 1.987422 3.270339 5.662099
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.307317 0.481311 0.755121 1.228914 2.052580 3.472011 6.207955
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.290056 0.462597 0.739777 1.230431 2.105460 3.656167 6.741856
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.276023 0.448445 0.731334 1.243925 2.182476 3.894691 7.416890
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.256309 0.423336 0.702579 1.219261 2.187993 4.002230 7.848869
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.247646 0.416299 0.703997 1.248444 2.295711 4.313672 8.735926
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.232671 0.397129 0.682608 1.233538 2.317245 4.458250 9.288957
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.223047 0.386672 0.675827 1.245191 2.391305 4.715007 10.119708
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.210231 0.369543 0.655602 1.229114 2.407792 4.854077 10.703148
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.199617 0.355706 0.640421 1.221513 2.440642 5.030601 11.396964
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.184089 0.331731 0.604543 1.169593 2.375460 4.987364 11.557681
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.178626 0.326374 0.603787 1.188958 2.464595 5.295405 12.626169
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.173768 0.321828 0.604228 1.210723 2.560897 5.630020 13.811463
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.167648 0.314421 0.598476 1.218838 2.627275 5.901961 14.873414